2024 Portuguese legislative election

2024 Portuguese legislative election
← 2022 10 March 2024
230 seats in the Assembly of the Republic
116 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered10,819,122 Increase 0.1%[1]
 
Pedro Nuno Santos, projecto da alta velocidade Lisboa-Porto-Vigo (2022-10-01), cropped.png
Luís Montenegro.jpg
André Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png
Leader Pedro Nuno Santos Luís Montenegro André Ventura
Party PS PSD CH
Alliance AD
Leader since 16 December 2023 28 May 2022[a] 9 April 2019
Leader's seat Aveiro Lisbon Lisbon
Last election 120 seats, 41.4% 77 seats, 30.7%[b] 12 seats, 7.2%
Seats needed Steady Increase 39 Increase 104
 
Rui rocha agencia lusa 2024.png
Paulo Raimundo (Agência Lusa 2023-10-18) (cropped).png
Mariana Mortágua, legislativas 2024 (53527512817) (cropped).jpg
Leader Rui Rocha Paulo Raimundo Mariana Mortágua
Party IL PCP BE
Alliance CDU
Leader since 22 January 2023 12 November 2022 28 May 2023
Leader's seat Braga Lisbon Lisbon
Last election 8 seats, 4.9% 6 seats, 4.3%[c] 5 seats, 4.4%
Seats needed Increase 108 Increase 110 Increase 111
 
Inês_Sousa_Real.jpg
Rui Tavares 2022.png
Teresa Mota.png
Leader Inês Sousa Real Rui Tavares
Teresa Mota[d]
Party PAN LIVRE
Leader since 6 June 2021 6 March 2022
Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon
Braga
Last election 1 seat, 1.6% 1 seat, 1.3%
Seats needed Increase 115 Increase 115
Portuguese electoral districts 2024 circles.svg
Incumbent Prime Minister

António Costa
PS



Snap legislative elections will take place on 10 March 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 16th Legislature of Portugal. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic will be at stake.

Background

The Socialist Party (PS), led by Prime Minister António Costa, won an absolute majority in the 2022 legislative election with 41% of the votes and 120 seats in the 230 seat Assembly of the Republic. The main opposition party, the Social Democratic Party (PSD), got 77 seats and 29% of the votes, while right-wing/far-right party Chega (Enough) gain 12 seats and 7%. The Liberal Initiative (IL) were able to win 8 seats and gather almost 5% of the votes. The left-wing/far-left parties, the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Left Bloc (BE), achieved one of their worst results ever with 4% of the votes and 6 and 5 seats, respectively. PAN and LIVRE were able to win just one seat each.[2]

António Costa's third government was sworn in on 30 March 2022. This government proved very unstable with several scandals and/or controversies affecting it. By mid 2023, the government had already suffered 13 resignations, 11 Secretaries of state and 2 Ministers.[3] The main controversy regarded TAP Air Portugal and a compensation payment to a government member, Alexandra Reis.[4] This case was followed by an incident, in late April 2023, at the Ministry of Infrastructure building between government staff members and an advisor to Minister João Galamba regarding an alleged stolen laptop.[5] The use of the Portuguese Secret Services in this case generated a clash between President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa and Prime Minister António Costa concerning the future of minister João Galamba and of the government itself.[6]

Fall of the government

Main article: Operation Influencer

On 7 November 2023, it was reported that the Public Security Police and the Public Prosecutor's office carried out a series of searches at the official residence of the Prime Minister and other ministries, and that the Prime Minister's chief of staff had been arrested.[7] Costa was named as a suspect in a corruption case involving the awarding of contracts for the lithium and hydrogen businesses.[8] He met with President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa in the Presidential Palace and announced his resignation shortly after, stating that he would not run for re-election.[9]

The President heard all parties after Costa's resignation.[10] The Socialist Party proposed a new cabinet led by President of the Assembly of the Republic Augusto Santos Silva[11] or Governor of the Bank of Portugal Mário Centeno[12] that would last until the end of the government's term in 2026, while all opposition parties, except PAN, supported an early election.[13] President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, after meeting with the Council of State, called an early election for 10 March 2024.[14]

The Prime Minister's resignation was not made official immediately, it was postponed until 8 December 2023, so that the State Budget for 2024 could be approved by parliament.[15][16]

This marks the first time a single party majority government has not completed its full term in democratic Portugal.

Politics of Portugal

Main article: Politics of Portugal

The President of Portugal has the power to dissolve the Assembly of the Republic by their own will. Unlike in other countries, the President can refuse to dissolve the parliament at the request of the Prime Minister or the Assembly of the Republic and all the parties represented in Parliament. If the Prime Minister resigns, the President must appoint a new Prime Minister after listening to all the parties represented in Parliament and then the government programme must be subject to discussion by the Assembly of the Republic, whose members of parliament may present a motion to reject the upcoming government.

Date

According to the Portuguese Constitution, an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends. The election is called by the President of Portugal but is not called at the request of the Prime Minister; however, the President must listen to all of the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election.[17] If an election is called during an ongoing legislature (dissolution of parliament) it must be held at least after 55 days. Election day is the same in all multi-seat constituencies, and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday. In normal circunstances, the next legislative election would, therefore, have taken place no later than 11 October 2026.[18]

On 9 November 2023, President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa announced he would dissolve the parliament and called an early election for 10 March 2024.[14] On 15 January 2024, the President signed the decree that officially dissolved Parliament and set the date for the elections.[19] Campaigning officially began on 25 February and would last for two weeks.[20]

Leadership changes and challenges

CDS – People's Party

In the 2022 elections, the CDS–People's Party was wiped out from Parliament for the first time in 47 years of democracy.[21] CDS leader Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos resigned on election night and announced that a leadership ballot would be held.[22] On 11 February, it was announced that a new leader would be elected in a party congress on 2 and 3 April 2022 held in Guimarães.[23] MEP Nuno Melo, former MP Nuno Correia da Silva, 2016 leadership candidate Miguel Mattos Chaves and Bruno Filipe Costa announced they would contest the ballot.[24][25][26][27] During the congress, Bruno Filipe Costa and Nuno Correia da Silva dropped out from the race.[28] Nuno Melo was easily elected as leader with more than 77% of the votes. The results were the following:

Ballot: 2 April 2022
Candidate Votes %
Nuno Melo 854 77.5
Miguel Mattos Chaves 104 9.4
Others[e] 144 13.1
Turnout 1,102
Source: Observador

Social Democratic Party

Main article: 2022 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election
Luís Montenegro addressing the 40th Congress of the PSD in Porto.

After the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) defeat in the 2022 legislative election, Rui Rio announced he would resign and not run again for the PSD leadership, calling a leadership election to elect a new leader.[29] The ballot was held on 28 May 2022.[30] Luís Montenegro, former PSD parliamentary group leader (2011-2018), and Jorge Moreira da Silva, former Environment minister (2013-2015), were the only candidates on the ballot.[31] Around 45,000 party members, out of more than 85,000 active members, registered to vote.[32] Montenegro defeated Moreira da Silva by a landslide, becoming the 19th leader of the PSD.[33] The results were as follows:

Ballot: 28 May 2022
Candidate Votes %
Luís Montenegro 19,241 72.5
Jorge Moreira da Silva 7,306 27.5
Blank/Invalid ballots 437 –
Turnout 26,984 60.46
Source: Official results

Portuguese Communist Party

Paulo Raimundo speaking during the Party's Conference that elected him as the Secretary-General of the PCP.

On 5 November 2022, the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) announced that Jerónimo de Sousa, party leader since 2004, was departing from the leadership for health reasons and the demands that the post requires.[34] The party chose Paulo Raimundo, a party employee and member since 1994, as new leader[35] whose nomination was confirmed in a Central Committee meeting on 12 November 2022 by unanimous vote, with one abstention, from Raimundo himself.[36] The results were the following:

Ballot: 12 November 2022
Candidate Votes %
Paulo Raimundo 128 99.2
Against 0 0.0
Abstention 1 0.8
Turnout 129
Source: Observador

Liberal Initiative

Rui Rocha delivering his victory speech at the Party's Convention on 22 January 2023 in Lisbon.

On 23 October 2022, party leader João Cotrim Figueiredo announced he was leaving the party leadership and called a leadership election.[37] Shortly after Cotrim's announcement, an MP Rui Rocha from Braga constituency, stepped forward and announced his intention to run for the leadership.[38] Two days later, Carla Castro, a Lisbon MP, also presented her candidacy for the leadership.[39] A few weeks later, the party decided on a date, and location, for the leadership ballot and the new leader would be elected in a National Convention between 21 and 22 January 2023 in Lisbon.[40] A third candidate for the leadership, José Cardoso, a critic of Figueiredo's leadership and strategy, announced his candidacy on 2 January 2023.[41] Around 2,300 party members registered to vote in the leadership convention.[42] Rui Rocha was elected as the 4th President of the Liberal Initiative with almost 52% of the votes.[43] The results were the following:

Ballot: 22 January 2023
Candidate Votes %
Rui Rocha 888 51.7
Carla Castro 757 44.0
José Cardoso 74 4.3
Blank/Invalid ballots 9 –
Turnout 1,728 74.26
Source: Diário de Notícias

People Animals Nature

People Animals Nature (PAN) held a leadership ballot on 20 May 2023.[44] Two candidates were on the ballot: Incumbent leader Inês Sousa Real and Nelson Silva, MP between 2019 and 2022. Silva accused Sousa Real of leading the party to irrelevance and that now it's time to "save" and "rebuild" the party.[45] In a rather tense congress, with strong accusations between both sides,[46] Inês Sousa Real was re-elected party leader with 73% of the votes.[47] The results were the following:

Ballot: 20 May 2023
Candidate Votes %
Inês Sousa Real 97 72.9
Nelson Silva 35 26.3
Blank/Invalid ballots 1 0.8
Turnout 133
Source: Expresso

Left Bloc

Mariana Mortágua announcing her candidacy on 27 February 2023 in Lisbon.

On 14 February 2023, party coordinator Catarina Martins announced she would not run for another term as party leader.[48] Her reasons were that the party needed someone new to lead it, that in the party there are not very long periods of leadership and that the "new political cycle" forces a change. A party leadership convention was held between 27 and 28 May 2023, in Lisbon.[49]

After MEP Marisa Matias and caucus leader Pedro Filipe Soares declined to run, MP Mariana Mortágua decided to run for the party leadership.[50] Her candidacy was confirmed on 27 February 2023.[51] A list of critics of the then party leadership, led by former MP Pedro Soares, opposed Mortágua in the convention ballot.[52] On 28 May 2023, Mariana Mortágua was easily elected as new party coordinator with 83% of the delegates votes.[53] The results were the following:

Ballot: 28 May 2023
Candidate Votes %
Mariana Mortágua 439 83.1
Pedro Soares 78 14.8
Abstentions 11 2.1
Turnout 528 80.74
Source: CNN Portugal

Socialist Party

Main article: 2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election

After the resignation of António Costa as Prime Minister on 7 November 2023, following the Operation Influencer corruption investigation, and his announcement that he would not run again for office, the Socialist Party (PS) held a leadership election to elect a new leader[54] on 15 and 16 December 2023.[55] On 9 November 2023, former Minister of Infrastructure and Housing Pedro Nuno Santos announced his candidacy for the party leadership,[56] while Minister of Internal Administration José Luís Carneiro announced his intention to run on the following day.[57] On 18 November 2023, Daniel Adrião, a member of the National Commission of PS and candidate in the PS leadership elections of 2016, 2018 and 2021, announced his candidacy.[58] On 16 December, Pedro Nuno Santos was easily elected with almost 61% of the votes, compared with the 37% of José Luís Carneiro.[59] The results were the following:

Ballot: 15 and 16 December 2023
Candidate Votes %
Pedro Nuno Santos 24,219 60.8
José Luís Carneiro 14,891 37.4
Daniel Adrião 382 1.0
Blank/Invalid ballots 322 0.8
Turnout 39,814 68.65
Source: Official results

Electoral system

The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected for four-year terms. Governments do not require an absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposition MPs is larger than that of its supporters, the opposition still needs to be equal to or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[60]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[61] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[62]

The distribution of MPs by electoral district for the 2024 legislative election is the following:[1]

District Number of MPs Map
Lisbon 48
Porto 40
Braga and Setúbal(+1) 19
Aveiro 16
Leiria 10
Coimbra, Faro and Santarém 9
Viseu 8
Madeira 6
Azores, Viana do Castelo(–1) and Vila Real 5
Castelo Branco 4
Beja, Bragança, Évora and Guarda 3
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe 2

Early voting

Voters were also able to vote early, which happened on 3 March, one week before election day. Voters had to register between 25 and 29 February 2024 in order to be eligible to cast an early ballot. By the 29 February deadline, 208,007 voters had requested to vote early, a number well below the 2022 figures.[63]

Parties

For a more comprehensive list, see Party lists for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election.

Parties and/or coalitions that intend to run had until 29 January 2024 to file lists of candidates.[64] 18 parties and/or coalitions filed lists to contest the election. The Social Democratic Party (PSD), CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) and the People's Monarchist Party (PPM) will contest the election in a coalition called Democratic Alliance (AD). This coalition will be on the ballot in mainland Portugal and the Azores. In Madeira, the coalition is only between the PSD and CDS–PP, called Madeira First.[65] PPM will run alone in Madeira.[66] The Communist Party (PCP) will repeat their coalition with the Greens (PEV), Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU), as has been the case since 1987.

The Earth Party (MPT) and Alliance (A) will also contest the election under a coalition called Alternative 21 (A21).[67]

Parliamentary factions

The table below lists the parties and/or coalitions represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 15th legislature (2022–2024) and that will also contest the 2024 elections:

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2022 result Seats at
dissolution 		Refs
% Seats
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista 		Social democracy Centre-left Pedro Nuno Santos 41.4%
120 / 230
120 / 230
AD Democratic Alliance
Aliança Democrática
 Liberal conservatism
Conservatism 		Centre-right
to Right-wing 		Luís
Montenegro 		29.1%
1.6%
0.0%
77 / 230
76 / 230
 [68]
[69]
[f]
CH Enough!
Chega! 		National conservatism
Right-wing populism 		Right-wing
to far-right 		André Ventura 7.2%
12 / 230
12 / 230
IL Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal 		Classical liberalism
Right-libertarianism 		Centre-right
to right-wing 		Rui Rocha 4.9%
8 / 230
8 / 230
CDU Unitary Democratic Coalition
Coligação Democrática Unitária
 Communism
Eco-socialism 		Left-wing
to far-left 		Paulo
Raimundo 		4.3%
6 / 230
6 / 230
 [c]
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda 		Democratic socialism
Left-wing populism 		Left-wing
to far-left 		Mariana Mortágua 4.4%
5 / 230
5 / 230
PAN People Animals Nature
Pessoas-Animais-Natureza 		Animal welfare
Environmentalism 		Centre-left[g] Inês Sousa Real 1.6%
1 / 230
1 / 230
L FREE
LIVRE 		Green politics
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-left
to left-wing 		Rui Tavares &
Teresa Mota 		1.3%
1 / 230
1 / 230
Ind. Independent
Independente 		António Maló de Abreu (left the Social Democratic Party caucus)
1 / 230
 [71]

Non-represented parties

The table below lists the parties and/or coalitions not represented in the Assembly of the Republic and that will run in the elections.

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2022 result Refs
%
RIR React, Include, Recycle
Reagir, Incluir, Reciclar, 		Humanism
Pacifism 		Syncretic Márcia Henriques 0.4% [72]
PCTP/MRPP Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
Partido Comunista dos Trabalhadores Portugueses 		Marxism-Leninism
Maoism 		Far-left Cidália Guerreiro 0.2% [73]
ADN National Democratic Alternative
Alternativa Democrática Nacional 		Traditionalism
Anti-establishment 		Right-wing Bruno Fialho 0.2% [74]
JPP Together for the People
Juntos pelo Povo 		Regionalism
Social liberalism 		Centre Élvio Sousa 0.2% [75]
A21 Alternative 21
Alternativa 21
 Green conservatism
Conservative liberalism 		Centre-right Pedro Pimenta &
Jorge Nuno de Sá 		0.1%
0.0% 		[67]
VP Volt Portugal
Volt Portugal 		Social liberalism
European federalism 		Centre
to centre-left 		Ana Carvalho &
Duarte Costa 		0.1% [76]
E Rise Up
Ergue-te 		National conservatism
Anti-immigration 		Far-right José Pinto Coelho 0.1% [77]
NC We, the Citizens!
Nós, Cidadãos! 		Social liberalism
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-right Joaquim Rocha Afonso 0.1% [78]
PTP Portuguese Labour Party
Partido Trabalhista Português 		Democratic socialism
Social democracy 		Centre-left
to left-wing 		Amândio Madaleno 0.1% [79]
ND New Right
Nova Direita 		National conservatism
Economic liberalism 		Right-wing Ossanda Liber — [80]

Rejected

Name Ideology Political
position 		Leader 2022 result Refs
%
MAS Socialist Alternative Movement
Movimento Alternativa Socialista 		Socialism
Trotskyism 		Left-wing Renata Cambra 0.1% [81]

Campaign

Issues

The issue of governability after the elections, which party will let the other govern or not, has become central to the campaign. The Socialist Party (PS) leader Pedro Nuno Santos has changed positions regarding the scenario of a Democratic Alliance (AD) minority, with first being against it but, as the official campaign started, gave his openness to let the AD govern. Luís Montenegro, initially against the idea of letting the PS govern, also changed his tone but is creating a taboo regarding his position.[82] Healthcare and education are also crucial issues for voters, according to surveys.[83]

Party slogans of represented parties

Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Refs
PS « Mais Ação »
« Portugal Inteiro » 		"More Action"
"Whole Portugal" 		[84]
AD « Acreditar na Mudança »
« A mudança está nas tuas mãos » 		"Believe in Change"
"Change is in your hands" 		[85]
CH « Limpar Portugal » "Clean up Portugal" [86]
IL « Portugal com Futuro » "Portugal with Future" [87]
CDU « Mais CDU, vida melhor » "More CDU, better life" [88]
BE « Fazer o que nunca foi feito » "Do what has never been done" [89]
PAN « Avançamos pelas Causas » "We advance for Causes" [90]
L « Contrato com o Futuro » "Contract with the Future" [91]

Candidates' debates

With parties represented in Parliament

2024 Portuguese legislative election debates
Date Time Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[h]    S  Surrogate[i]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
PS AD CH IL CDU BE PAN L Ref.
5 Feb 9PM SIC Clara de Sousa P
Santos 		NI NI P
Rocha 		NI NI NI NI [92]
[93]
10PM RTP3 João AdelinoFaria NI NI P
Ventura 		NI NI NI P
Real 		NI
6 Feb 6PM RTP3 João AdelinoFaria NI NI NI NI P
Raimundo 		NI P
Real 		NI [92]
[93]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto NI P
Montenegro 		NI NI NI P
Mortágua 		NI NI
10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de OliveiraPinto NI NI P
Ventura 		P
Rocha 		NI NI NI NI
7 Feb 6PM CNN Portugal João PóvoaMarinheiro NI NI NI P
Rocha 		NI NI NI P
Tavares 		[92][93]
8 Feb 6PM SIC Notícias Rosa de OliveiraPinto NI NI NI NI NI P
Mortágua 		NI P
Tavares 		[92][93]
9 Feb 6PM SIC Notícias Rosa de OliveiraPinto NI NI NI P
Rocha 		NI NI P
Real 		NI [92]
[93]
9PM RTP1 João AdelinoFaria P
Santos 		NI NI NI NI NI NI P
Tavares
10PM CNN Portugal João PóvoaMarinheiro NI NI P
Ventura 		NI P
Raimundo 		NI NI NI
10 Feb 9PM RTP1 João AdelinoFaria NI P
Montenegro 		NI NI P
Raimundo 		NI NI NI [92]
[93]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto P
Santos 		NI NI NI NI NI P
Real 		NI
11 Feb 9PM SIC Clara de Sousa NI P
Montenegro 		NI NI NI NI P
Real 		NI [92]
[93]
10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de OliveiraPinto NI NI NI NI P
Raimundo 		P
Mortágua 		NI NI
12 Feb 9PM RTP1 João AdelinoFaria NI P
Montenegro 		P
Ventura 		NI NI NI NI NI [92][93]
13 Feb 6PM CNN Portugal João PóvoaMarinheiro NI NI NI NI P
Raimundo 		NI NI P
Tavares 		[92]
[93]
10PM RTP3 João AdelinoFaria NI NI P
Ventura 		NI NI P
Mortágua 		NI NI
14 Feb 6PM RTP3 João AdelinoFaria NI NI NI NI NI NI P
Real 		P
Tavares 		[92]
[93]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto P
Santos 		NI P
Ventura 		NI NI NI NI NI
10PM RTP3 João AdelinoFaria NI NI NI P
Rocha 		P
Raimundo 		NI NI NI
15 Feb 6PM CNN Portugal João PóvoaMarinheiro NI NI NI P
Rocha 		NI P
Mortágua 		NI NI [92][93]
16 Feb 9PM RTP1 João AdelinoFaria P
Santos 		NI NI NI NI P
Mortágua 		NI NI [92]
[93]
10PM SIC Notícias Rosa de OliveiraPinto NI NI P
Ventura 		NI NI NI NI P
Tavares
17 Feb 8:30PM SIC Clara de Sousa P
Santos 		NI NI NI P
Raimundo 		NI NI NI [92]
[93]
9PM TVI Sara Pinto NI P
Montenegro 		NI NI NI NI NI P
Tavares
18 Feb 8:45PM SIC Clara de Sousa NI P
Montenegro 		NI P
Rocha 		NI NI NI NI [92][93]
10PM CNN Portugal João PóvoaMarinheiro NI NI NI NI NI P
Mortágua 		P
Real 		NI
19 Feb 8:30PM RTP1
SIC
TVI 		João AdelinoFaria
Clara de Sousa
Sara Pinto 		P
Santos 		P
Montenegro 		NI NI NI NI NI NI [92]
[93]
23 Feb 9PM RTP1 Carlos Daniel P
Santos 		P
Montenegro 		P
Ventura 		P
Rocha 		P
Mortágua 		P
Raimundo 		P
Real 		P
Tavares 		[92][93]
26 Feb 10AM Antena 1
TSF
Renascença
Observador 		Natália Carvalho
Judith Menezese Sousa
Susana MadureiraMartins
Rui Pedro Antunes 		P
Santos 		P
Montenegro 		A P
Rocha 		P
Mortágua 		P
Raimundo 		P
Real 		P
Tavares 		[94][95]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate or debates
Date Time Organisers Polling firm
PS AD CH IL CDU BE PAN L Ref.
Debates between 5 and 13 Feb Aximage 17% 19% 20% 10% 2% 9% 4% 7% 12% Und
19 Feb 8:30PM RTP1, SIC, TVI CESOP–UCP 26% 22% — — — — — — 53% Oth[j]
Aximage 46% 38% — — — — — — 16% Und

With parties not represented in Parliament

2024 Portuguese legislative election debates
Date Time Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[k]    S  Surrogate[l]    NI  Not invited   I  Invited    A  Absent invitee 
RIR PCTP ADN JPP A21 VP E NC PTP ND Ref.
20 Feb 9PM RTP1 Carlos Daniel P
Henriques 		P
Pinto 		P
Fialho 		P
Sousa 		P
Afonso 		P
Figueiredo 		P
P. Coelho 		P
R. Afonso 		P
Coelho 		P
Liber 		[92][93]

Opinion polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election § Graphical summary.[edit]
Local Regression of polls conducted since the election
Local Regression of polls conducted since the election

Polling aggregations

Polling aggregator Last update PS
Aliança Democrática 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
 CH IL BE CDU PAN L Lead
Marktest 4 Mar 2024 26.5 35.0 17.0 4.8 5.8 3.3 1.3 3.5 8.5
PolitPro 4 Mar 2024 28.8 32.2 16.8 5.0 5.7 3.2 1.8 3.0 3.4
Europe Elects 2 Mar 2024 28 33 18 6 6 3 1 3 5
Politico 2 Mar 2024 28 33 17 5 5 3 1 3 5
Renascença 2 Mar 2024 28.0 31.6 17.5 5.0 5.1 2.5 1.3 3.0 3.6
2022 legislative election[2] 30 Jan 2022 41.4
120 		29.1
77 		1.6
0 		7.2
12 		4.9
8 		4.4
5 		4.3
6 		1.6
1 		1.3
1 		12.3

Results

National summary

For detailed results by constituency, see Results breakdown of the 2024 Portuguese legislative election.
PartyVotes%
Socialist Party
Democratic Alliance[m]
Chega
Liberal Initiative
Unitary Democratic Coalition
Left Bloc
People–Animals–Nature
LIVRE
Madeira First[n]
React, Include, Recycle
Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
National Democratic Alternative
Together for the People
Alternative 21
Volt Portugal
Ergue-te
We, the Citizens!
Portuguese Labour Party
People's Monarchist Party[o]
New Right
Total
Blank votes0–
Registered voters/turnout10,819,122–
Source: [1][96]
Vote share
PS
 
 0.00%
AD
 
 0.00%
CH
 
 0.00%
IL
 
 0.00%
BE
 
 0.00%
CDU
 
 0.00%
PAN
 
 0.00%
L
 
 0.00%
MF
 
 0.00%
Others
 
 0.00%
Blank/Invalid
 
 0.00%
Parliamentary seats
PS
 
 0.00%
AD
 
 0.00%
CH
 
 0.00%
IL
 
 0.00%
BE
 
 0.00%
CDU
 
 0.00%
PAN
 
 0.00%
L
 
 0.00%
MF
 
 0.00%

Distribution by constituency

Results of the 2024 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency
Constituency % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S Total
S
PS AD CH IL CDU BE MF[n] PAN L
Azores 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 5
Aveiro 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 16
Beja 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 3
Braga 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 19
Bragança 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 3
Castelo Branco 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 4
Coimbra 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 9
Évora 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 3
Faro 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 9
Guarda 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 3
Leiria 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 10
Lisbon 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 48
Madeira 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 6
Portalegre 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 2
Porto 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 40
Santarém 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 9
Setúbal 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 19
Viana do Castelo 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 5
Vila Real 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 5
Viseu 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 8
Europe 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 2
Outside Europe 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 2
Total 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 230
Source: [1]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ As leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD).
  2. ^ In the 2022 election, PSD had 77 seats and 29.1% of the votes, CDS-PP had 1.6% and failed to elect any seats and PPM had 0.0% and also failed to elect any seats.
  3. ^ a b The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2022 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) and won a combined 4.3% of the vote and elected 6 MPs to parliament. The 6 MPs elected in 2022 are all from PCP. PEV elected zero.
  4. ^ LIVRE has no formal single leader; the party has 15-member leadership committee of which Rui Tavares and Teresa Mota serve as spokespersons.
  5. ^ CDS members that presented party motions but who were not running for the party's leadership.
  6. ^ The 77 MPs elected in 2022 are all from the Social Democratic Party (PPD/PSD). CDS–PP and PPM elected zero.
  7. ^ Some sources state that People Animals Nature (PAN) is neither on the left nor the right.[70]
  8. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  9. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  10. ^ 33% Didn't saw the debate; 10% Tie; 4% None; 6% Undecided.
  11. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  12. ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  13. ^ PSD/CDS–PP/PPM list in mainland Portugal, Azores and Overseas.
  14. ^ a b In Madeira, the PSD and the CDS–PP will contest the elections in a coalition called Madeira First (Madeira Primeiro).
  15. ^ PPM list only in Madeira

References

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External links